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Under Iran war pressure, Saudi Arabia breaks from the oil model and turns to a debt-financed deficit economy
Saudi Arabia's Q1 2026 budget report marks the kingdom's structural break from oil rents into a debt-financed deficit economy, with the Iran war…
May 6
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Editor
April 2026
Iran and The Chinese Dragon in the Room
The war on Iran is a war on China's energy lifelines. Washington's encirclement strategy across four continents is forcing Beijing toward a…
Apr 20
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Indonesia's Impossible Balancing Act
Indonesia signed a Pentagon defence deal and sat with Putin for 5 hours on the same day. The war on Iran grows its contradictions and impossible hedging…
Apr 16
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2
Will Turkey Inherit Iran?
Turkey is not inheriting Iran. It is inheriting Iran's problems. The war has not made Turkey stronger. It has made Turkey more consequential.
Apr 12
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3
The Hormuz Toll: Iran’s Move from “Chokepoint” to “Clearing House”
The Hormuz toll signals the collapse of US maritime escrow, replacing free navigation with sovereign invoicing and digital ledger dominance to monetise…
Apr 8
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Iran is fighting a currency war
The war on Iran is a currency war. The real battle is whether the dollar or the yuan will invoice global trade for the next generation.
Apr 7
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Editor
2
March 2026
Israel’s War Budget Passes. The Real Bill Has Not Arrived Yet.
Israel's war budget passed under missile fire. The real cost remains unbooked, the economy quietly fracturing, and Oct election will decide the…
Mar 30
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Editor
Military Keynesianism and the US War on Saudi and the Broader Gulf
The US heightens Saudi and Gulf insecurity to drive purchases of expensive weapons, extracting billions from allies to fuel its domestic economy.
Mar 26
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Editor
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Two Bets, One War: How the Iran War Will Decide Libya's Fate
Libya's $20 billion Western oil bet and $4 billion Pakistan arms deal represent two incompatible survival strategies. The Iran war will determine which…
Mar 25
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Pakistan-Sudan military supplies deal halted as Saudi pulls funding due to disagreements
Iran's war is trapping Pakistan and Sudan through different mechanisms. Pakistan through economic collapse, Sudan through terrorist designations…
Mar 24
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3
The War For The Middle East Economic Future
This war is a project of great power economic reengineering. Iran was merely the catalyst for the agenda. This week’s newsletter spills the beans on the…
Mar 18
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Editor
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The Strait of Hormuz Fertiliser Crisis and Incoming Food Supplies Disruption
The war on Iran closed Hormuz. The oil shock made headlines. The fertiliser shock did not. By September, your grocery bill will explain why.
Mar 18
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Editor
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